Originally Posted by
piman2k
I have an urge to jump in here. How can you make a positive claim like this
and then finish the same comment with
The two statements don’t tally.
The UK “lockdown” has always been to slow the rate of spread. And according to SAGE at the briefing yesterday, the UK national average infection rate (an average of the country, not a local figure for region by region) is now “highly likely” to be below 1. Which is great and does make the case for the lockdown being effective.
The R value is a rate, not a tally. In some areas COVID-19 will be spreading, in some it won’t. But we will continue to find more cases as we continue to test. So according to the best in the business we are now likely to be spreading the disease much less, but the infection numbers will continue to rise because the more we test, the more undetected cases we will find.