If you can dig it out with your nail, how does it feel? Metal grindings will feel like little splinters, tar (even very old tar) will still feel softish once its off (pretty obvious I guess, but worth mentioning!). If its old tar, it may well need a soaking for a few mins to soften it enough for the solvent to remove it. I'd say a clay bar and then a mop will shift it, but as Mr OCD says, it is a pretty aggressive way to clean the paint.